Amir Bagherpour, PhD is a Managing Director at Accenture. He leads the development of advanced analytics platforms and methods for applications in diplomacy, defense, and international development. His areas of research are on disinformation, crisis & conflict risk forecasting, application of game-theory and agent-based modeling for national security applications, and emerging technologies. His Industry experience spans both commercial and federal sectors. Dr. Bagherpour served as Director of Advanced Analytics at the Department of State’s Bureau of Conflict & Stabilization Operations and later as Director of Data Analytics in the Office of the Secretary of State. Earlier in his career he worked as an application engineer at NSK Corporation, where he designed motion control components for manufacturing automation processes. He has a PhD in Political Science with an Emphasis in Methods from Claremont Graduate University and an MBA from the University of California Irvine. He is a graduate of West Point with a BS in Management Studies and Systems Engineering. Dr. Bagherpour served in the U.S. Army as an Armor Officer.
SELECTED PUBLICATIONS AND ARTICLES
How Computer Simulations Enhance Geopolitical Decision-Making, (February 2021), Journal of Futures & Foresight Science
COVID Misinformation is Killing People (October 2020), Scientific American
Power Transitions: The Rise of Regions (May 2020), Authored Chapter on MENA, Rowman & Littlefield
Denying the Seeds of Future Conflict: Computational Modeling of Proxy Activity in the Euphrates River Valley (February 2018), SMA Reach-back Publication, Joint Staff J39
To Defeat ISIS, Cooperation is Key (April 2017), Foreign Affairs
Pathways to Stability for Transition Governments in the Middle East and North Africa (Jan 2015), Journal of Asian Politics and Policy
A Revised Selectorate Model for the Arab Spring (March 2012), Doctoral Dissertation
Hardliners Will Block Economic Reform: What Game Theory Tells Us About Rouhani’s Efforts (Jan 2016), The Guardian
Oppression 2.0: Iranian Discontent in Cyberspace (July 2011), PBS Frontline, Tehran Bureau
The Iranian Influence in Afghanistan (August 2010), PBS Frontline, Tehran Bureau
RECOGNITION BY COMMUNITIES OF PRACTICE AND NATIONAL MEDIA
The race to curb the spread of COVID vaccine disinformation (April 2021)
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00997-x
How U.S. intelligence creates games to improve its forecasts, (July2017)
http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/prediction-games-u-s-canada-intelligence-community-1.4188537
5 Things to Know Before Diving into Data Driven Decision-Making (August 2016)
https://www.devex.com/news/5-things-to-know-before-diving-into-data-driven-decision-making-88516
Beyond the Dashboard: Data for Decision-Making (July 2016)
https://www.devex.com/news/beyond-the-dashboard-data-for-decision-making-88454
Predicting OPEC’s Behavior: What’s Their Next Move? (April 2016)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-04-20/predicting-opec-s-behavior-what-s-their-next-move
Big Data Analytics and Preventing Conflict, Technology Empowering U.S. Diplomacy (May 2013)
http://tech.state.gov/profiles/blogs/ignite-sessions-speaker-bios-1
Moneyball Diplomacy: Applying Big Data Analytics on Conflict Analysis in Nigeria (June 2013)
http://www.nextgov.com/big-data/2013/06/moneyball-diplomacy/64508/
